Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.277869 0.323254 0.375490 0.440463 0.519671 0.613810 0.735230
2025-08-10 0.208614 0.265824 0.339587 0.443403 0.588611 0.788941 1.094317
2025-08-17 0.169117 0.229576 0.314054 0.444274 0.646657 0.961367 1.514099
2025-08-24 0.142414 0.202794 0.292525 0.441131 0.692790 1.125778 1.987861
2025-08-31 0.122400 0.181057 0.272665 0.433624 0.726741 1.277642 2.507160
2025-09-07 0.110797 0.169752 0.266186 0.445428 0.795767 1.515206 3.324114
2025-09-14 0.098153 0.154572 0.250293 0.436439 0.822037 1.675334 4.057065
2025-09-21 0.089760 0.145146 0.242507 0.440473 0.875202 1.914214 5.156859
2025-09-28 0.082076 0.135815 0.233268 0.439443 0.916810 2.142342 6.401907
2025-10-05 0.077293 0.130978 0.231528 0.453337 0.996892 2.506483 8.440242
2025-10-12 0.072701 0.125864 0.228401 0.463462 1.070953 2.890514 10.980623
2025-10-19 0.068595 0.121143 0.225313 0.472978 1.146697 3.320942 14.296174
2025-10-26 0.065160 0.117428 0.223993 0.487094 1.242525 3.885251 19.284242
2025-11-02 0.061243 0.112323 0.219046 0.491472 1.312560 4.406547 25.114983
2025-11-09 0.057512 0.107177 0.213297 0.492669 1.373966 4.940958 32.393030
2025-11-16 0.053855 0.101794 0.206292 0.489146 1.419365 5.444463 40.953984
2025-11-23 0.050261 0.096183 0.198051 0.480642 1.445314 5.882426 50.480477
2025-11-30 0.048336 0.093972 0.197509 0.494031 1.557162 6.866446 71.067989
2025-12-07 0.045253 0.088915 0.189489 0.483836 1.575490 7.352983 87.506465
2025-12-14 0.043229 0.086039 0.186490 0.488410 1.656289 8.310339 119.253433
2025-12-21 0.041086 0.082696 0.181920 0.487242 1.713537 9.187716 158.073423
2025-12-28 0.039898 0.081438 0.182529 0.503007 1.853984 10.854305 241.314442
2026-01-04 0.038586 0.079769 0.181862 0.514503 1.981540 12.626725 366.459617